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INTRO
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[ 00 ] / DISCOVERY
Themes & Movers
[ 00 ] / DISCOVERY
Themes & Movers
DISCOVERY
/
GEOPOLITICS & WORLD EVENTS
THEME · 33 EVENTS
Geopolitics & World Events
24H VOL
$13.5M
LIQUIDITY
$17.4M
VENUES
2
8-WAY
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
0%
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
0%
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
0%
VOL 24H
$4.5M
EXPIRY
4d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5%
95%
VOL 24H
$1.5M
EXPIRY
4d
5-WAY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
24%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
21%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
13%
VOL 24H
$1.2M
EXPIRY
Aug 31, 2026
17-WAY
Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
50%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
31%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
13%
VOL 24H
$1.1M
EXPIRY
1d
15-WAY
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
98%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
VOL 24H
$590.0K
EXPIRY
4d
3-WAY
Türkiye vs. United States
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
51%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
27%
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
23%
VOL 24H
$514.1K
EXPIRY
1d
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
0%
100%
VOL 24H
$436.0K
EXPIRY
4d
23-WAY
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
87%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
6%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?
3%
VOL 24H
$361.4K
EXPIRY
5d
23-WAY
Elon Musk # tweets June 23 - June 30, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
24%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
23%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
17%
VOL 24H
$361.0K
EXPIRY
5d
5-WAY
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
28%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
16%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
12%
VOL 24H
$334.3K
EXPIRY
4d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6%
94%
VOL 24H
$313.6K
EXPIRY
Dec 31, 2026
2-WAY
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
10%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2%
VOL 24H
$267.3K
EXPIRY
ended
21-WAY
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
30%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
3%
VOL 24H
$264.8K
EXPIRY
5d
4-WAY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
4%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
0%
VOL 24H
$236.2K
EXPIRY
ended
3-WAY
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
79%
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
25%
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
7%
VOL 24H
$230.8K
EXPIRY
5d
2-WAY
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
7%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1%
VOL 24H
$214.4K
EXPIRY
ended
3-WAY
Israel closes its airspace by...?
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
12%
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
7%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
2%
VOL 24H
$201.4K
EXPIRY
ended
4-WAY
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
78%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
41%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
21%
VOL 24H
$196.9K
EXPIRY
36d
11-WAY
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 25?
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?
99%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?
1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?
0%
VOL 24H
$170.9K
EXPIRY
10h
8-WAY
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
14%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
10%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
9%
VOL 24H
$161.5K
EXPIRY
6d
2-WAY
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?
51%
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
8%
VOL 24H
$159.4K
EXPIRY
Dec 31, 2026
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
14%
86%
VOL 24H
$153.2K
EXPIRY
Dec 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
13%
88%
VOL 24H
$1.3K
EXPIRY
Aug 1, 2099
5-WAY
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
60%
China
41%
Russia
2%
VOL 24H
$696
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2031
14-WAY
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch
Bad and Boujee
45%
Rockstar
44%
Pepas
43%
VOL 24H
$139
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
79%
21%
VOL 24H
$122
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2050
3-WAY
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
52%
Before 2035
48%
Before 2030
31%
VOL 24H
$11
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
18%
82%
VOL 24H
$1
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030
Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending?
62%
38%
VOL 24H
$0
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030
Will there be an announcement that Family Guy is ending?
50%
50%
VOL 24H
$0
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
51%
49%
VOL 24H
$0
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030
5-WAY
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 440
85%
At least 445
27%
At least 450
18%
VOL 24H
$0
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030
EU has a new member before 2030?
71%
29%
VOL 24H
$0
EXPIRY
Jan 1, 2030