Rush

45-WAY

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?21%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?10%

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?9%

VOL 24H

$1.6M

EXPIRY

Nov 7, 2028

17-WAY

Brazil Presidential Election

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?56%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?23%

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?12%

VOL 24H

$1.0M

EXPIRY

Oct 4, 2026

37-WAY

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?15%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?14%

VOL 24H

$1.0M

EXPIRY

Nov 7, 2028

18-WAY

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?40%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?35%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?13%

VOL 24H

$652.7K

EXPIRY

Dec 31, 2026

35-WAY

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?38%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?21%

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?5%

VOL 24H

$536.0K

EXPIRY

Nov 7, 2028

7-WAY

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?61%

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?34%

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?4%

VOL 24H

$499.4K

EXPIRY

Sep 20, 2026

23-WAY

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?99%

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%

VOL 24H

$320.9K

EXPIRY

ended

36-WAY

Next French Presidential Election

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?25%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?19%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?12%

VOL 24H

$304.0K

EXPIRY

Apr 30, 2027

30-WAY

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Marco Rubio20%

J.D. Vance18%

Gavin Newsom14%

VOL 24H

$267.8K

EXPIRY

Nov 7, 2029

Trump out as President by June 30?

0%

100%

VOL 24H

$195.9K

EXPIRY

4d

7-WAY

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?94%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?93%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?92%

VOL 24H

$183.6K

EXPIRY

5d

22-WAY

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Todd Blanche67%

Lee Zeldin8%

Ron DeSantis5%

VOL 24H

$24.7K

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

21-WAY

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Andy Burnham96%

Bridget Phillipson5%

Nigel Farage2%

VOL 24H

$16.7K

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2030

24-WAY

Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?

Jay Clayton80%

Aaron Lukas15%

Bill Pulte2%

VOL 24H

$4.7K

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

5-WAY

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 203046%

Before Jan 1, 202940%

Before Jan 1, 202821%

VOL 24H

$3.4K

EXPIRY

6d

7-WAY

Who will the next Pope be?

Pietro Parolin5%

Luis Antonio Tagle5%

Pierbattista Pizzaballa4%

VOL 24H

$2.1K

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2070

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

65%

36%

VOL 24H

$1.8K

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

8-WAY

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

Venezuela4%

Cuba4%

Canada3%

VOL 24H

$1.8K

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

16-WAY

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling56%

Riley Moore16%

Sean O'Brien11%

VOL 24H

$1.7K

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

8-WAY

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

Democratic Sweep47%

Republican Sweep24%

D-House, R-Senate, D-President9%

VOL 24H

$1.6K

EXPIRY

Nov 7, 2029

2-WAY

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 202923%

Before 20277%

VOL 24H

$1.5K

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2027

4-WAY

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before May 1, 2026100%

Before January 20, 202921%

Before 20277%

VOL 24H

$1.3K

EXPIRY

ended

8-WAY

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition82%

$600 billion to $899 billion4%

$100 billion to $299 billion4%

VOL 24H

$1.3K

EXPIRY

Jan 22, 2029

3-WAY

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 202957%

Before 202738%

Before July 20261%

VOL 24H

$1.2K

EXPIRY

6d

34-WAY

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Martin O’Malley22%

Faiz Shakir19%

Shasti Conrad8%

VOL 24H

$817

EXPIRY

Jan 8, 2045

4-WAY

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 202933%

Before Jan 202822%

Before Jan 20278%

VOL 24H

$802

EXPIRY

6d

3-WAY

Will Congress override Trump's veto?

Before Jan 20, 202932%

Before 202713%

Before Aug 1, 20267%

VOL 24H

$560

EXPIRY

37d

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

16%

85%

VOL 24H

$503

EXPIRY

Jan 29, 2045

Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?

14%

86%

VOL 24H

$500

EXPIRY

Oct 15, 2029

3-WAY

Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?

Hakeem Jeffries75%

Jim Jordan15%

Steve Scalise6%

VOL 24H

$455

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2031

3-WAY

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Before May 2026100%

Before Jan 20, 202947%

Before 202718%

VOL 24H

$396

EXPIRY

ended

4-WAY

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Before Jan 20, 202969%

Before 202863%

Before 20277%

VOL 24H

$343

EXPIRY

6d

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

19%

82%

VOL 24H

$337

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

7-WAY

Which G7 leader will leave next?

Keir Starmer98%

Emmanuel Macron1%

Giorgia Meloni1%

VOL 24H

$334

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2045

9-WAY

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

Samuel Alito62%

Clarence Thomas36%

John Roberts16%

VOL 24H

$329

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

2-WAY

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

Democratic party59%

Republican party42%

VOL 24H

$281

EXPIRY

Nov 7, 2029

52-WAY

Who will Trump pardon?

Donald Trump Jr.55%

Donald Trump53%

Todd Blanche51%

VOL 24H

$247

EXPIRY

Jan 21, 2029

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

2%

98%

VOL 24H

$246

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2035

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

16%

84%

VOL 24H

$230

EXPIRY

Jun 30, 2029

Will Trump resign during his term?

24%

77%

VOL 24H

$222

EXPIRY

Jan 21, 2029

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

22%

79%

VOL 24H

$214

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will Trump expand the H1-B program?

21%

79%

VOL 24H

$134

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

2-WAY

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Before Jan 20, 202962%

Before 202715%

VOL 24H

$100

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?

8%

93%

VOL 24H

$95

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?

11%

89%

VOL 24H

$87

EXPIRY

Jan 21, 2029

8-WAY

Which party will win the next UK general election?

Reform party37%

Labour party34%

Conservative party18%

VOL 24H

$71

EXPIRY

Aug 31, 2029

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

29%

72%

VOL 24H

$71

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

10-WAY

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

World Trade Organization34%

United Nations23%

OECD21%

VOL 24H

$66

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

26-WAY

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

Ionuț Dumitru94%

Victor Ponta46%

Dacian Cioloș45%

VOL 24H

$63

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2045

37-WAY

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham17%

James Ho15%

D. John Sauer11%

VOL 24H

$52

EXPIRY

Jan 21, 2029

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

19%

81%

VOL 24H

$45

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

20%

80%

VOL 24H

$22

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

51%

49%

VOL 24H

$19

EXPIRY

Jan 26, 2029

12-WAY

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

Between 400 and 44915%

Between 350 and 39914%

Between 450 and 49912%

VOL 24H

$15

EXPIRY

Jan 21, 2029

10-WAY

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

140%

232%

026%

VOL 24H

$13

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

78%

22%

VOL 24H

$10

EXPIRY

Jun 4, 2029

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

44%

56%

VOL 24H

$7

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2030

2-WAY

2028 House winner

Democratic party70%

Republican party32%

VOL 24H

$6

EXPIRY

Feb 1, 2029

2-WAY

Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?

Republican party49%

Democratic party45%

VOL 24H

$5

EXPIRY

Nov 2, 2033

14-WAY

Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)

4513%

Below 4512%

Above 5610%

VOL 24H

$5

EXPIRY

Feb 1, 2029

2-WAY

Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

Before Jan 20, 202914%

Before 20275%

VOL 24H

$3

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

10%

90%

VOL 24H

$2

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2029

4-WAY

Will Congressional salaries increase?

Before Jan 1, 203051%

Before Jan 1, 202941%

Before Jan 1, 202832%

VOL 24H

$2

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2027

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

40%

61%

VOL 24H

$2

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2030

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

9%

91%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

14-WAY

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

Ding Xuexiang24%

Chen Jining20%

Li Xi17%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2045

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

17%

84%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 8, 2045

12-WAY

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Gadi Eisenkot46%

Naftali Bennett20%

Israel Katz10%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2045

10-WAY

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

Bola Tinubu33%

Emmerson Mnangagwa19%

William Ruto7%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2035

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

29%

72%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2033

19-WAY

Next government of the United Kingdom?

Labour majority19%

Reform UK majority10%

Reform UK minority10%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2030

4-WAY

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

Hungary6%

France3%

Greece3%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2030

6-WAY

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Hungary4%

Spain4%

Italy3%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2030

4-WAY

Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?

Before 203430%

Before 203225%

Before 202811%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2028

Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

21%

80%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Dec 22, 2029

EU loses a member before 2030?

17%

83%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 1, 2030

Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?

78%

22%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Dec 31, 2029

5-WAY

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

At least 250 billion10%

At least 2 trillion9%

At least 750 billion8%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Mar 31, 2029

3-WAY

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

$40 trillion98%

$45 trillion80%

$50 trillion34%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Mar 31, 2029

2-WAY

2028 Senate winner

Democratic party55%

Republican party45%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Feb 1, 2029

8-WAY

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Alina Habba42%

No new person29%

Jason Miller11%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 21, 2029

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?

8%

92%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 21, 2029

2-WAY

Delaware governor winner? (2028)

Democratic party77%

Republican party24%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Nov 7, 2029

Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?

15%

86%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will Trump pardon any members of his family?

70%

30%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

5-WAY

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

247%

328%

47%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

ended

Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

4%

96%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?

31%

69%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

5-WAY

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals70%

7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals16%

Not nine justices10%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

3%

97%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

5-WAY

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

No other person54%

Robert O'Brien15%

Ric Grenell15%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

17-WAY

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

No other person47%

Dan Driscoll10%

Joni Ernst8%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

36%

65%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

17%

84%

VOL 24H

$0

EXPIRY

Jan 20, 2029

Themes & Movers

Themes & Movers

Themes & Movers

Politics & Elections